Ultra-Low Interest Rates

Katherine Martin • September 2, 2020

Chances are if you’ve been paying attention to the news as the Canadian economy continues to work through the COVID-19 pandemic, you’ve heard that interest rates are at an all-time low. And it would appear that they will remain low for a while. In fact, the Bank of Canada recently hinted that they don’t expect rates to go up until at least 2023. That’s good news if you need to borrow money!

So what does this mean for you? Well, if you are borrowing money for really any reason, you’ll most likely be paying lower interest for the foreseeable future, including any secured line of credits, car loans, student loans, and personal loans. As for mortgage financing, you’ve got options!

If you’re an existing variable rate mortgage holder , the prime rate is currently 2.45%. You are paying that, plus or minus a component to prime. The variable rate spread is presently coming down at several lenders, so if you’d like to have a look at your mortgage to see if a refinance makes sense to save you money, please contact me anytime.

If you’re a fixed rate mortgage holder , this means there could be a pretty significant penalty for breaking your existing mortgage. However, depending on the time remaining on your current term, and the rate you are currently paying, it might make sense to break your existing mortgage, pay the penalty, and refinance into a lower rate. There is no cost to run the numbers. If we can save you money in the long term on your mortgage, it might make sense to refinance. Now, depending on the terms of your mortgage, it might make sense to wait a year or two to refinance, but we won’t know that until we look at the details. I am more than happy to provide you with several financial scenarios.

If you’re currently looking to purchase a property and you’re seeking new mortgage financing, you should know that although interest rates are at an all-time low, the government of Canada forces you to qualify at what they call the qualifying rate which is currently 4.79%. So while you can find a five year fixed rate around 2% now, you have to prove that you can afford double that amount in interest. The idea here is that it protects you against a rate hike when your term is complete. Unfortunately, it leaves you qualifying for a considerably lower mortgage amount now.

So is now a good time to refinance or buy? Well, that depends on your financial situation. But there is nothing wrong with taking a look and putting together a mortgage application to assess your situation. I would love to work with you so that you can take advantage of these low interest rates. Please contact me anytime!

Katherine Martin


Origin Mortgages

Phone: 1-604-454-0843
Email: kmartin@planmymortgage.ca
Fax: 1-604-454-0842


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By Katherine Martin • October 29, 2025
Bank of Canada lowers policy rate to 2¼%. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario October 29, 2025 The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. With the effects of US trade actions on economic growth and inflation somewhat clearer, the Bank has returned to its usual practice of providing a projection for the global and Canadian economies in this Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Because US trade policy remains unpredictable and uncertainty is still higher than normal, this projection is subject to a wider-than-usual range of risks. While the global economy has been resilient to the historic rise in US tariffs, the impact is becoming more evident. Trade relationships are being reconfigured and ongoing trade tensions are dampening investment in many countries. In the MPR projection, the global economy slows from about 3¼% in 2025 to about 3% in 2026 and 2027. In the United States, economic activity has been strong, supported by the boom in AI investment. At the same time, employment growth has slowed and tariffs have started to push up consumer prices. Growth in the euro area is decelerating due to weaker exports and slowing domestic demand. In China, lower exports to the United States have been offset by higher exports to other countries, but business investment has weakened. Global financial conditions have eased further since July and oil prices have been fairly stable. The Canadian dollar has depreciated slightly against the US dollar. Canada’s economy contracted by 1.6% in the second quarter, reflecting a drop in exports and weak business investment amid heightened uncertainty. Meanwhile, household spending grew at a healthy pace. US trade actions and related uncertainty are having severe effects on targeted sectors including autos, steel, aluminum, and lumber. As a result, GDP growth is expected to be weak in the second half of the year. Growth will get some support from rising consumer and government spending and residential investment, and then pick up gradually as exports and business investment begin to recover. Canada’s labour market remains soft. Employment gains in September followed two months of sizeable losses. Job losses continue to build in trade-sensitive sectors and hiring has been weak across the economy. The unemployment rate remained at 7.1% in September and wage growth has slowed. Slower population growth means fewer new jobs are needed to keep the employment rate steady. The Bank projects GDP will grow by 1.2% in 2025, 1.1% in 2026 and 1.6% in 2027. On a quarterly basis, growth strengthens in 2026 after a weak second half of this year. Excess capacity in the economy is expected to persist and be taken up gradually. CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, slightly higher than the Bank had anticipated. Inflation excluding taxes was 2.9%. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation have been sticky around 3%. Expanding the range of indicators to include alternative measures of core inflation and the distribution of price changes among CPI components suggests underlying inflation remains around 2½%. The Bank expects inflationary pressures to ease in the months ahead and CPI inflation to remain near 2% over the projection horizon. With ongoing weakness in the economy and inflation expected to remain close to the 2% target, Governing Council decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points. If inflation and economic activity evolve broadly in line with the October projection, Governing Council sees the current policy rate at about the right level to keep inflation close to 2% while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond. Governing Council will be assessing incoming data carefully relative to the Bank’s forecast. The Canadian economy faces a difficult transition. The structural damage caused by the trade conflict reduces the capacity of the economy and adds costs. This limits the role that monetary policy can play to boost demand while maintaining low inflation. The Bank is focused on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 10, 2025. The Bank’s next MPR will be released on January 28, 2026. Read the October 29th, 2025 Monetary Report

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By Katherine Martin • October 22, 2025
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