Use Low Rates to Your Advantage!

Katherine Martin • September 13, 2016

In an article I recently published called “ Is Now a Good Time to Buy? ” we identified that interest rates are at all time Canadian lows and as it’s never been cheaper to borrow money, now is a good time to buy property. In no way was it being said that “because interest rates are low, you should rush out and buy property”. Obviously there is a balance and you should take the decision to buy a property seriously. The point of the article was that while the media would have us believe that the sky is falling and the housing market is crashing around us, it’s not all doom and gloom, there are some silver linings (like low interest rates). 

But the problem with low interest rates is that they can actually perpetuate the housing crash conversation. These low interest rates won’t last forever, inevitably rates will go up. And when they do go up, the question is “are today’s low rates setting people up for failure down the road when rates increase”? Well, let’s have a look and discuss the 5 year fixed rate mortgage. 

Firstly, when qualifying for a mortgage using the 5 year fixed rate, you are able to debt service (qualify) using the contract rate (low rate, currently around 2.39%). This is instead of having to use the benchmark rate (currently 4.74%) like you would on a variable rate mortgage or any term less than 5 years. As such, the low rate on the 5 year fixed allows you to qualify for a much higher mortgage amount compared to qualifying at the higher benchmark rate. The argument is that by qualifying using the lower rate, you are taking on more debt than you can actually handle. 

Secondly, when your 5 year term is up, even after paying on the mortgage for 5 years, if interest rates go up, there is a chance your mortgage payment will go up as well. The media calls this “payment shock” and it’s a real thing. On a modest mortgage amount, with rates as low as they are today, any increase of rate at renewal could mean hundreds of dollars a month extra on your new payment schedule.

Qualifying for a higher mortgage amount based on a low interest contract rate, combined with a higher rate upon renewal, plus a third variable like a job loss, reduced income because of a maternity leave, or significant health/life issue is what leads speculators to make the claim that low interest rates are contributing to the eventual housing market collapse. It’s a reach, but that’s the argument that’s made. 

So, if you find yourself concerned about these things, here is some quick advice on how to avoid payment shock and how to take advantage of today’s low interest rates. 

Just because you qualify for a certain mortgage amount (because of low interest rates or not), doesn’t mean you have to spend that much. If you are worried about a potential market correction, instead of qualifying using the lower mortgage amount, consider setting your personal limit at the benchmark rate instead. That way you are already building in a “stress-test” and are ahead of the game.

Also, just because your minimum payment is based on today’s low interest rate, doesn’t mean you can’t pay more aggressively. Let’s say your payment is set using a 2.39% rate, using your pre-payment privileges, consider increasing your payment to the benchmark rate of 4.74%. This will do two things, it will pay down a lot more of the principal amount in the first 5 years of your mortgage, plus if interest rates do increase upon renewal, you will have already conditioned yourself to be paying a higher payment, and you won’t be shocked by the increase!

If you are thinking about buying a property in the next couple of years, please contact me anytime, I would love to help you arrange mortgage financing. 

Katherine Martin


Origin Mortgages

Phone: 1-604-454-0843
Email: kmartin@planmymortgage.ca
Fax: 1-604-454-0842


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By Katherine Martin • October 29, 2025
Bank of Canada lowers policy rate to 2¼%. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario October 29, 2025 The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. With the effects of US trade actions on economic growth and inflation somewhat clearer, the Bank has returned to its usual practice of providing a projection for the global and Canadian economies in this Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Because US trade policy remains unpredictable and uncertainty is still higher than normal, this projection is subject to a wider-than-usual range of risks. While the global economy has been resilient to the historic rise in US tariffs, the impact is becoming more evident. Trade relationships are being reconfigured and ongoing trade tensions are dampening investment in many countries. In the MPR projection, the global economy slows from about 3¼% in 2025 to about 3% in 2026 and 2027. In the United States, economic activity has been strong, supported by the boom in AI investment. At the same time, employment growth has slowed and tariffs have started to push up consumer prices. Growth in the euro area is decelerating due to weaker exports and slowing domestic demand. In China, lower exports to the United States have been offset by higher exports to other countries, but business investment has weakened. Global financial conditions have eased further since July and oil prices have been fairly stable. The Canadian dollar has depreciated slightly against the US dollar. Canada’s economy contracted by 1.6% in the second quarter, reflecting a drop in exports and weak business investment amid heightened uncertainty. Meanwhile, household spending grew at a healthy pace. US trade actions and related uncertainty are having severe effects on targeted sectors including autos, steel, aluminum, and lumber. As a result, GDP growth is expected to be weak in the second half of the year. Growth will get some support from rising consumer and government spending and residential investment, and then pick up gradually as exports and business investment begin to recover. Canada’s labour market remains soft. Employment gains in September followed two months of sizeable losses. Job losses continue to build in trade-sensitive sectors and hiring has been weak across the economy. The unemployment rate remained at 7.1% in September and wage growth has slowed. Slower population growth means fewer new jobs are needed to keep the employment rate steady. The Bank projects GDP will grow by 1.2% in 2025, 1.1% in 2026 and 1.6% in 2027. On a quarterly basis, growth strengthens in 2026 after a weak second half of this year. Excess capacity in the economy is expected to persist and be taken up gradually. CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, slightly higher than the Bank had anticipated. Inflation excluding taxes was 2.9%. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation have been sticky around 3%. Expanding the range of indicators to include alternative measures of core inflation and the distribution of price changes among CPI components suggests underlying inflation remains around 2½%. The Bank expects inflationary pressures to ease in the months ahead and CPI inflation to remain near 2% over the projection horizon. With ongoing weakness in the economy and inflation expected to remain close to the 2% target, Governing Council decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points. If inflation and economic activity evolve broadly in line with the October projection, Governing Council sees the current policy rate at about the right level to keep inflation close to 2% while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond. Governing Council will be assessing incoming data carefully relative to the Bank’s forecast. The Canadian economy faces a difficult transition. The structural damage caused by the trade conflict reduces the capacity of the economy and adds costs. This limits the role that monetary policy can play to boost demand while maintaining low inflation. The Bank is focused on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 10, 2025. The Bank’s next MPR will be released on January 28, 2026. Read the October 29th, 2025 Monetary Report

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By Katherine Martin • October 22, 2025
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