How Does This Recent Bank of Canada Rate Change Impact Me?

Katherine Martin • January 22, 2015

The announcement yesterday from the Bank of Canada that it lowered the target overnight rate to 3/4 per cent has been called the most significant rate announcement in the last 10 years. So the obvious next questions are…

How does this rate change affect me? How does this rate change impact my ability to buy a new home? Do I have increased purchasing power now?

Well… let’s work this through.

Bank of Canada

The Bank of Canada sets what is called the “overnight rate” which has more to do with how banks borrow money among themselves than it does have a direct impact on consumers. However, according to the Bank of Canada website ,

“Changes in the target for the overnight rate influence other interest rates, such as those for consumer loans and mortgages.”

So basically the overnight rate can influence the prime lending rate, but it doesn’t have to… the banks decide that for themselves and subsequently for us.

The prime rate (currently 3%) is what Variable Rate Mortgages are based on. A typical variable rate mortgage will have a component plus or minus to prime. So if the prime rate is 3% and the component is -.5%, your contract rate would be 2.5%.  When the lender changes the prime rate, your rate goes up or down accordingly.

The confusion is a result of a lot of people believing the overnight rate is the prime rate. The over night rate is currently 0.75% whereas the prime rate is still 3%. As of right now, there has been no changes to mortgage rates as a result of the Bank of Canada announcement.

Will Rates Go Down?

Typically the prime lending rate does go down when the Bank of Canada lowers the overnight rate. However this is up to the banks to decide. The banks could decide not to pass along this decrease in their expenses to consumers and just hang on to the profitability. TD bank is already on record as saying they will not be lowering their prime rate in response to this latest Bank of Canada move.

“TD Bank said Thursday it had decided not to cut its prime rate, a decision that “was carefully considered and is based on a number of factors, with the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate only being one of them.” Royal Bank of Canada said it is “considering the impact” of the central bank’s rate cut, but is not changing its mortgage products at this time. Scotiabank told CBC News it had not yet made a decision on whether to cut its prime rate.”

“Our decision regarding our prime rate is impacted by factors beyond just the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate,” said Mohammed Nakhooda, a spokesman for TD Bank. ” Not only do we operate in a competitive environment, but our prime rate is influenced by the broader economic environment, and its impact on credit.”

It is still to be seen what all lenders will do, they are no doubt taking their time to consider all options (while they make more money in the short term).

Variable Rates

Even if all the lenders across the board do decide to lower their prime rate to 2.75%, this will have an impact on current variable rate holders and it will not increase the purchasing power of anyone purchasing a property and securing the mortgage with a variable rate. This is because:

To qualify for a variable rate mortgage, you qualify at the benchmark rate, instead of the contract rate.

The benchmark rate is currently 4.79%, so in order to qualify for the variable rate (which is currently in the mid to low 2% range), you have to be able to afford to qualify at the higher rate. These rules are in place so that when the variable rate mortgage renews in 5 years… there is no significant shock in payment increase if the lending landscape is drastically different.

Fixed Rates

Now, with the recent drop in oil prices, the Canadian dollar falling and the bond market taking a dive as a result of the Bank of Canada rate change, many are predicting that fixed rates will be going down as well.

Unlike the variable rate a 5 year fixed rate is qualified on the contract rate not the benchmark rate. So if the 5 year fixed rate does goes down it will actually increase the purchasing power of a homebuyer.

So, to answer the question directly, will this rate decrease impact the purchasing power of the average homebuyer. No it will not.

There will be less interest paid by variable rate holders but someone purchasing a property with a variable rate will not have any more purchasing power. While someone purchasing a property with a 5 year fixed rate will qualify for more, their rate is in no way tied to prime and they won’t see any savings from the lower rate (if it does go down).

It is good to note that the cost of borrowing money to purchase a home in Canada has never been this cheap. Any extra money paid towards principal will have a huge impact. It would seem that rather than try to use these low rates to purchase a more expensive house, the best plan of action would be to use these low rates to pay off your mortgage more quickly.

But as everyone’s situation is different, it’s hard to give general advice. I would love to talk with you about your situation and help you figure out the best mortgage product for you!

Katherine Martin


Origin Mortgages

Phone: 1-604-454-0843
Email: 
kmartin@planmymortgage.ca
Fax: 1-604-454-0842


RECENT POSTS

By Katherine Martin February 4, 2026
Owning a vacation home or an investment rental property is a dream for many Canadians. Whether it’s a cottage on the lake for family getaways or a rental unit to generate extra income, real estate can be both a lifestyle choice and a smart financial move. But before you dive in, it’s important to know what lenders look for when financing these types of properties. 1. Down Payment Requirements The biggest difference between buying a primary residence and a vacation or rental property is the down payment. Vacation property (owner-occupied, seasonal, or secondary home): Typically requires at least 5–10% down, depending on the lender and whether the property is winterized and accessible year-round. Rental property: Usually requires a minimum of 20% down. This is because rental income can fluctuate, and lenders want extra security before approving financing. 2. Property Type & Location Not all properties qualify for traditional mortgage financing. Lenders consider: Accessibility : Is the property accessible year-round (roads maintained, utilities available)? Condition : Seasonal or non-winterized cottages may not meet standard lending criteria. Zoning & Use : If it’s a rental, lenders want to ensure it complies with municipal bylaws and zoning regulations. Properties that fall outside these norms may require financing through alternative lenders, often with higher rates but more flexibility. 3. Rental Income Considerations If you’re buying a property with the intent to rent it out, lenders may factor the rental income into your mortgage application. Long-term rentals : Lenders typically accept 50–80% of the expected rental income when calculating your debt-service ratios. Short-term rentals (Airbnb, VRBO, etc.) : Many traditional lenders are cautious about using projected income from short-term rentals. Alternative lenders may be more flexible, depending on the property’s location and your financial profile. 4. Debt-Service Ratios Lenders use your Gross Debt Service (GDS) and Total Debt Service (TDS) ratios to determine if you can handle the mortgage payments alongside your other obligations. With investment or vacation properties, lenders may apply stricter guidelines, especially if your primary residence already carries a large mortgage. 5. Credit & Financial Stability Your credit score, employment history, and overall financial health still matter. Since vacation and rental properties are considered higher risk, lenders want reassurance that you can handle the additional debt—even if rental income fluctuates or the property sits vacant. 6. Insurance Requirements Rental properties often require specialized landlord insurance, and vacation homes may need coverage tailored to seasonal or secondary use. Lenders will want proof of adequate insurance before releasing mortgage funds. The Bottom Line Buying a vacation property or rental can be exciting, but financing these purchases comes with extra rules and considerations. From higher down payments to stricter property requirements, lenders want to be confident that you can handle the responsibility. If you’re considering a second property, the best step is to work with a mortgage professional who can compare lender requirements, outline your options, and find the financing that works best for you. Thinking about making your dream of a vacation or rental property a reality? Connect with us today.
By Katherine Martin January 28, 2026
Bank of Canada maintains policy rate at 2¼%. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario January 28, 2026 The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The outlook for the global and Canadian economies is little changed relative to the projection in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, the outlook is vulnerable to unpredictable US trade policies and geopolitical risks. Economic growth in the United States continues to outpace expectations and is projected to remain solid, driven by AI-related investment and consumer spending. Tariffs are pushing up US inflation, although their effect is expected to fade gradually later this year. In the euro area, growth has been supported by activity in service sectors and will get additional support from fiscal policy. China’s GDP growth is expected to slow gradually, as weakening domestic demand offsets strength in exports. Overall, the Bank expects global growth to average about 3% over the projection horizon. Global financial conditions have remained accommodative overall. Recent weakness in the US dollar has pushed the Canadian dollar above 72 cents, roughly where it had been since the October MPR. Oil prices have been fluctuating in response to geopolitical events and, going forward, are assumed to be slightly below the levels in the October report. US trade restrictions and uncertainty continue to disrupt growth in Canada. After a strong third quarter, GDP growth in the fourth quarter likely stalled. Exports continue to be buffeted by US tariffs, while domestic demand appears to be picking up. Employment has risen in recent months. Still, the unemployment rate remains elevated at 6.8% and relatively few businesses say they plan to hire more workers. Economic growth is projected to be modest in the near term as population growth slows and Canada adjusts to US protectionism. In the projection, consumer spending holds up and business investment strengthens gradually, with fiscal policy providing some support. The Bank projects growth of 1.1% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027, broadly in line with the October projection. A key source of uncertainty is the upcoming review of the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement. CPI inflation picked up in December to 2.4%, boosted by base-year effects linked to last winter’s GST/HST holiday. Excluding the effect of changes in taxes, inflation has been slowing since September. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation have eased from 3% in October to around 2½% in December. Inflation was 2.1% in 2025 and the Bank expects inflation to stay close to the 2% target over the projection period, with trade-related cost pressures offset by excess supply. Monetary policy is focused on keeping inflation close to the 2% target while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment. Governing Council judges the current policy rate remains appropriate, conditional on the economy evolving broadly in line with the outlook we published today. However, uncertainty is heightened and we are monitoring risks closely. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond. The Bank is committed to ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 18, 2026. The Bank’s next MPR will be released on April 29, 2026. Read the January 28th, 2026 Monetary Report