How Does This Recent Bank of Canada Rate Change Impact Me?

Katherine Martin • January 22, 2015

The announcement yesterday from the Bank of Canada that it lowered the target overnight rate to 3/4 per cent has been called the most significant rate announcement in the last 10 years. So the obvious next questions are…

How does this rate change affect me? How does this rate change impact my ability to buy a new home? Do I have increased purchasing power now?

Well… let’s work this through.

Bank of Canada

The Bank of Canada sets what is called the “overnight rate” which has more to do with how banks borrow money among themselves than it does have a direct impact on consumers. However, according to the Bank of Canada website ,

“Changes in the target for the overnight rate influence other interest rates, such as those for consumer loans and mortgages.”

So basically the overnight rate can influence the prime lending rate, but it doesn’t have to… the banks decide that for themselves and subsequently for us.

The prime rate (currently 3%) is what Variable Rate Mortgages are based on. A typical variable rate mortgage will have a component plus or minus to prime. So if the prime rate is 3% and the component is -.5%, your contract rate would be 2.5%.  When the lender changes the prime rate, your rate goes up or down accordingly.

The confusion is a result of a lot of people believing the overnight rate is the prime rate. The over night rate is currently 0.75% whereas the prime rate is still 3%. As of right now, there has been no changes to mortgage rates as a result of the Bank of Canada announcement.

Will Rates Go Down?

Typically the prime lending rate does go down when the Bank of Canada lowers the overnight rate. However this is up to the banks to decide. The banks could decide not to pass along this decrease in their expenses to consumers and just hang on to the profitability. TD bank is already on record as saying they will not be lowering their prime rate in response to this latest Bank of Canada move.

“TD Bank said Thursday it had decided not to cut its prime rate, a decision that “was carefully considered and is based on a number of factors, with the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate only being one of them.” Royal Bank of Canada said it is “considering the impact” of the central bank’s rate cut, but is not changing its mortgage products at this time. Scotiabank told CBC News it had not yet made a decision on whether to cut its prime rate.”

“Our decision regarding our prime rate is impacted by factors beyond just the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate,” said Mohammed Nakhooda, a spokesman for TD Bank. ” Not only do we operate in a competitive environment, but our prime rate is influenced by the broader economic environment, and its impact on credit.”

It is still to be seen what all lenders will do, they are no doubt taking their time to consider all options (while they make more money in the short term).

Variable Rates

Even if all the lenders across the board do decide to lower their prime rate to 2.75%, this will have an impact on current variable rate holders and it will not increase the purchasing power of anyone purchasing a property and securing the mortgage with a variable rate. This is because:

To qualify for a variable rate mortgage, you qualify at the benchmark rate, instead of the contract rate.

The benchmark rate is currently 4.79%, so in order to qualify for the variable rate (which is currently in the mid to low 2% range), you have to be able to afford to qualify at the higher rate. These rules are in place so that when the variable rate mortgage renews in 5 years… there is no significant shock in payment increase if the lending landscape is drastically different.

Fixed Rates

Now, with the recent drop in oil prices, the Canadian dollar falling and the bond market taking a dive as a result of the Bank of Canada rate change, many are predicting that fixed rates will be going down as well.

Unlike the variable rate a 5 year fixed rate is qualified on the contract rate not the benchmark rate. So if the 5 year fixed rate does goes down it will actually increase the purchasing power of a homebuyer.

So, to answer the question directly, will this rate decrease impact the purchasing power of the average homebuyer. No it will not.

There will be less interest paid by variable rate holders but someone purchasing a property with a variable rate will not have any more purchasing power. While someone purchasing a property with a 5 year fixed rate will qualify for more, their rate is in no way tied to prime and they won’t see any savings from the lower rate (if it does go down).

It is good to note that the cost of borrowing money to purchase a home in Canada has never been this cheap. Any extra money paid towards principal will have a huge impact. It would seem that rather than try to use these low rates to purchase a more expensive house, the best plan of action would be to use these low rates to pay off your mortgage more quickly.

But as everyone’s situation is different, it’s hard to give general advice. I would love to talk with you about your situation and help you figure out the best mortgage product for you!

Katherine Martin


Origin Mortgages

Phone: 1-604-454-0843
Email: 
kmartin@planmymortgage.ca
Fax: 1-604-454-0842


RECENT POSTS

By Katherine Martin October 29, 2025
Bank of Canada lowers policy rate to 2¼%. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario October 29, 2025 The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. With the effects of US trade actions on economic growth and inflation somewhat clearer, the Bank has returned to its usual practice of providing a projection for the global and Canadian economies in this Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Because US trade policy remains unpredictable and uncertainty is still higher than normal, this projection is subject to a wider-than-usual range of risks. While the global economy has been resilient to the historic rise in US tariffs, the impact is becoming more evident. Trade relationships are being reconfigured and ongoing trade tensions are dampening investment in many countries. In the MPR projection, the global economy slows from about 3¼% in 2025 to about 3% in 2026 and 2027. In the United States, economic activity has been strong, supported by the boom in AI investment. At the same time, employment growth has slowed and tariffs have started to push up consumer prices. Growth in the euro area is decelerating due to weaker exports and slowing domestic demand. In China, lower exports to the United States have been offset by higher exports to other countries, but business investment has weakened. Global financial conditions have eased further since July and oil prices have been fairly stable. The Canadian dollar has depreciated slightly against the US dollar. Canada’s economy contracted by 1.6% in the second quarter, reflecting a drop in exports and weak business investment amid heightened uncertainty. Meanwhile, household spending grew at a healthy pace. US trade actions and related uncertainty are having severe effects on targeted sectors including autos, steel, aluminum, and lumber. As a result, GDP growth is expected to be weak in the second half of the year. Growth will get some support from rising consumer and government spending and residential investment, and then pick up gradually as exports and business investment begin to recover. Canada’s labour market remains soft. Employment gains in September followed two months of sizeable losses. Job losses continue to build in trade-sensitive sectors and hiring has been weak across the economy. The unemployment rate remained at 7.1% in September and wage growth has slowed. Slower population growth means fewer new jobs are needed to keep the employment rate steady. The Bank projects GDP will grow by 1.2% in 2025, 1.1% in 2026 and 1.6% in 2027. On a quarterly basis, growth strengthens in 2026 after a weak second half of this year. Excess capacity in the economy is expected to persist and be taken up gradually. CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, slightly higher than the Bank had anticipated. Inflation excluding taxes was 2.9%. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation have been sticky around 3%. Expanding the range of indicators to include alternative measures of core inflation and the distribution of price changes among CPI components suggests underlying inflation remains around 2½%. The Bank expects inflationary pressures to ease in the months ahead and CPI inflation to remain near 2% over the projection horizon. With ongoing weakness in the economy and inflation expected to remain close to the 2% target, Governing Council decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points. If inflation and economic activity evolve broadly in line with the October projection, Governing Council sees the current policy rate at about the right level to keep inflation close to 2% while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond. Governing Council will be assessing incoming data carefully relative to the Bank’s forecast. The Canadian economy faces a difficult transition. The structural damage caused by the trade conflict reduces the capacity of the economy and adds costs. This limits the role that monetary policy can play to boost demand while maintaining low inflation. The Bank is focused on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 10, 2025. The Bank’s next MPR will be released on January 28, 2026. Read the October 29th, 2025 Monetary Report
By Katherine Martin October 22, 2025
How to Start Saving for a Down Payment (Without Overhauling Your Life) Let’s face it—saving money isn’t always easy. Life is expensive, and setting aside extra cash takes discipline and a clear plan. Whether your goal is to buy your first home or make a move to something new, building up a down payment is one of the biggest financial hurdles. The good news? You don’t have to do it alone—and it might be simpler than you think. Step 1: Know Your Numbers Before you can start saving, you need to know where you stand. That means getting clear on two things: how much money you bring in and how much of it is going out. Figure out your monthly income. Use your net (after-tax) income, not your gross. If you’re self-employed or your income fluctuates, take an average over the last few months. Don’t forget to include occasional income like tax returns, bonuses, or government benefits. Track your spending. Go through your last 2–3 months of bank and credit card statements. List out your regular bills (rent, phone, groceries), then your extras (dining out, subscriptions, impulse buys). You might be surprised where your money’s going. This part isn’t always fun—but it’s empowering. You can’t change what you don’t see. Step 2: Create a Plan That Works for You Once you have the full picture, it’s time to make a plan. The basic formula for saving is simple: Spend less than you earn. Save the difference. But in real life, it’s more about small adjustments than major sacrifices. Cut what doesn’t matter. Cancel unused subscriptions or set a dining-out limit. Automate your savings. Set up a separate “down payment” account and auto-transfer money on payday—even if it’s just $50. Find ways to boost your income. Can you pick up a side job, sell unused stuff, or ask for a raise? Consistency matters more than big chunks. Start small and build momentum. Step 3: Think Bigger Than Just Saving A lot of people assume saving for a down payment is the first—and only—step toward buying a home. But there’s more to it. When you apply for a mortgage, lenders look at: Your income Your debt Your credit score Your down payment That means even while you’re saving, you can (and should) be doing things like: Building your credit score Paying down high-interest debt Gathering documents for pre-approval That’s where we come in. Step 4: Get Advice Early Saving up for a home doesn’t have to be a solo mission. In fact, talking to a mortgage professional early in the process can help you avoid missteps and reach your goal faster. We can: Help you calculate how much you actually need to save Offer tips to strengthen your application while you save Explore alternate down payment options (like gifts or programs for first-time buyers) Build a step-by-step plan to get you mortgage-ready Ready to get serious about buying a home? We’d love to help you build a plan that fits your life—and your goals. Reach out anytime for a no-pressure conversation.